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Trump is communicating with Iran like Prime Tyson, saying Biden is a retard straight up during Easter holidays, Polymarket odds show a full-out war might be just around the corner, and yet, the charts are holding up? GM, lfg.
Just as I finished typing the intro, I'm seeing yet another of Trump’s posts. I'm not a praying type, but at this point, I do actually pray that all of this ends soon, and not only because as soon as it does, but we’ll also likely see the true mean reversal. Key word: mean.
I'm not sure what happened to the alleged 45-day ceasefire talks, because the above-mentioned post surely doesn’t sound too peaceful.
It’s anyone's guess what happens from here, whether it’s tonight or a month from here. All we can do is continue to monitor the situation, and especially the charts. And yes, they do seem like they’re not too bothered by all this anymore.
I’d like to carefully point out that at this point, maybe, just maybe, there are way too many doom posters, and not nearly enough of those asking: “What if things get better from here?”
As we’re all well aware, markets are forward-looking. And crypto markets are a forward-looking in ultramaxxed version. BTC and alts are the first to pump, first to dump. So, from here, I’d say all eyes are on BTC and ETH.
A little spoiler of today’s meme-ish Chart of the day, here’s how I imagine things could print IF this is a typical bear market year. Mind you, that’s a big if for now. Simply put, a range of $60-80K for a few months, maybe even until winter, with shake-ups and wicks below, would be scary in real-time, yet typical.
Of course, all eyes are also on Hormuz traffic, which is naturally still very low compared to normal, but has improved. Is that enough for the markets to put on the forward gaze and start stair-stepping up as everyone types the next doom post? Maybe.
As for ETH, I pray this particular outlook holds true. Once ETH goes, the whole market (well, not whole but almost) goes higher with it. I still believe Ethereum has a bright future, especially as it moves forward as the main tokenization hub and the whole RWA narrative, which, in my opinion, holds massive, uncapped upside potential.
These goals of ours would be much easier to achieve if the same happened in TardFi, especially if the S&P 500 jumps back above 6,800. Remains to be seen. As for Oil, I'm back with the prayers, because if this wasn’t the top and we see $150 or more, it might mean Larry Fink’s recession talk becomes a reality. For now, I think there’s a decent chance the top is in.
Live update: prayers failed as the U.S. just bombed Kargh Island.
Let’s see what comes out of all this mess. Perhaps, just perhaps, it’s yet another crisis that ends up breaking something, and the “printer” once again becomes our savior? Looking at Australia, it might just be the case. The only question remains time, stay tuned.
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The important bits.
Nado opens the USDT0 deposits to the public, learn and deposit here
Nado is now leading in the “potential airdrop” category, see here
Hibachi just shipped a major trade panel refresh, more info here
Hibachi “Regular Points Season 24” is complete, check your points and earn here
Saga releases a video post-ETHCC update, watch here
Jumper is now enabling you to bridge with 0% price impact, see here
Top 3 Stories in Crypto Gaming news, read full here
Drift Protocol releases Incident Background Update, read here
Phygitals updates the reveal animations, try it out here
Hyperliquid will ship prediction markets & mobile app, read here
Midas unlocks mHYPER through tranche-based structures for Hyperliquid, read here
Aerodrome announces big things coming to the ETH mainnet, read here
Even more important bits.
Did Vitalik just lose $500 million in SHIB donated funds to a scam? Read here
Arkham found the XPL manipulation wallet, check here
$166B Charles Schwab to launch “Schwab Crypto” account supporting BTC and ETH trading, read here
Polymarket made $13 million since turning on fees - Threadguy's reaction here
The Bank of Canada just published a formal report on Aave - worth reading here
Charts and stats of the day.
Could Berachain recover from here? RSI says so, chart here
A fresh wallet just withdrew $82M of ETH, see here
Biggest Crypto Exploits in 2026, dashboard here
AI Big 10 concentration just hit 41% - last time this happened was right before the Dot Com crash, chart here
Polymarket’s daily fees are absolutely skyrocketing, chart here
NFT weekly volume has officially collapsed to its lowest point in history, chart here
Lastly, our daily Telegram bulletin is back! Join in right here and stay on top of everything, every day.
Honestly? Yes, it could. I know using fractals as your analysis is retarded, and this is more a meme than a real chart.
Nevertheless, it goes hand in hand with our outlook that the BTC time spent under $60K should be short-lived and considered an opportunity, rather than a fearful exit.
The AI news & updates.
Anthropic tests out emotional vectors for Claude, see here
GitHub COO reveals annual commits are on pace to jump 1,300% year over year, read here
Deepseek is preparing to launch V4 model in < 2 weeks, more info here
Venice AI announces access to every major model in the world for $30, read here
Solana introduces new “AI Agent Skills”, read here
xAI’s Grok-4.20 Beta tops medical AI rankings, read here
OpenClaw version 4.5 is here, all details on improvements here
The AI tutorials, prompt guides, you name it.
Backtest trading strategies on real Polymarket and Kalshi data, get it here
LLM Knowledge Bases for auto-research by Karpathy, tutorial here
Installs AI agent skills based on project tech stack, available on GitHub
The AI- Generated ABG guidebook - how to get 1k followers in 5 days, learn here
Crypto arbitrage and funding rate scanner, available on GitHub
Resources for AI in quantitative investment and trading, available on GitHub
Build Claude Code Skills: The full guide
A Repo to auto-update your AI agents, get it here
Fix the “Claude Code Design” with this repo, available here
AI Articles of the day.
CURE procrastination by gamifying your life with AI (prompt included)
House Democrat Demands Answers From Anthropic CEO On Security Failures, read here
The Golden Era of DeFi powered by AI Agents, read here
AI Charts and stats of the day.
Onchain AI agent reviews pass 100k for the first time, chart here
51.2% of 188 AI agents in Virtuals Degen Arena are in profit, see here
If there’s ONE thing you should do, it’s to read this Citrini’s Analyst #3 venture straight into the Strait of Hormuz:
Liquid Royalty (Berachain, DeFi) - TVL going up massively
Ubitel (Private E-Sim)
Lista DAO (DeFi) - Updates to V2 tokenomics
Pull.Fun (TCG, Gacha)
Hypersurface (Hyperliquid, DeFi)
Can't make this up. Whatever you think about Trump, if you’re not laughing here and there, I think you’re missing out:
Stay tuned for tomorrow, as we’re prepping a little UI revamp for you guys to enjoy the newsletter even more. As there are more and more things and actionables to pack here for you, we’re about to go a lil “thinner”.
Thanks everyone for tuning in and see you tomorrow!
If this was useful, forward it to one person sitting on the sidelines right now. That's how this thing grows. MUCH appreciated.
Hix0n 🫡
