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I'm not saying we tolded, but… actually yea, WE TOLDED. Yesterday’s hopium posting ripened as a fine wine by this evening. Let’s get into why we actually might have seen THE macro low for crypto. GM.
Here we go, our Savior Jesus Trump flexes about how more and more ships are passing through the Strait of Hormuz, just the day after he said the U.S. will block it themselves. The fella is going through some proper manic posting arc.
The main message since yesterday: the markets seem not to give a damn about Trumpster talk anymore. Over $439,000,000 in shorts have been liquidated shortly after the FUD hit its pico top in tandem with yesterday’s blockade. April 2025 tariff saga bottom repetition?
I'm taking it slow, once again reminding myself of longer timeframes and the chance that this is just a mid-term mean-reversion rally: those tend to end with more chop, not a fresh new bull run.
The evidence for $60k being the low is stacking up by the day, though, check out this macro indicator, for example, which managed to mark out the main low consolidations of past cycles. Can we retest the sixty keks or even swipe below it on a wick basis? Sure.
I’d say overall, if things continue the way they do, Q2 is shaping up to be a bullish quarter. Much deserved after all we've been through. Nevertheless, going into summer, perhaps starting in June, I wouldn’t be surprised by the rally fading and markets going into a typical summer slumber.
Quickly on oil, check out the Google Trends spike. If this doesn’t scream top, I don’t know what does. Alas, it’s very hard to predict oil, as it's so closely tied to news and the Iran/U.S. mess. But, I mean, everyone, including their mama and Capo, is posting oil charts now.
PS: here’s an oil pre-publish update. Hehe.
TardFi-wise, here’s a great point by Syko marking out the Russell 2000, the small-cap stock index, currently breaking out. As said, this adds strength to our mean reversion thesis.
In tandem, here’s a pretty bullish ETH outlook (remember we highlighted this one during past weeks, marking the RSI low). Not only are charts lining up, but fundamentals are now aligning as well, with the SEC granting DeFi a brokerage exemption. This is great for ETH, L1s and DeFi overall.
The only worrisome chart: home sellers in the U.S. now outnumber buyers by 630,000, the largest gap ever recorded. Let’s put that one on the shelf for now, though. The real estate cycle can take God knows how long…
Lastly, let’s see what gems come out of T’s mouth later today, rant incoming at 1.30 PM ET.
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More alpha on Bad Bunnz below! The best time to stack a Bunnz is now, IMO.
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The important bits.
Pyth Network fixed the unneeded liquidations caused by 4:1 stock splits, read how here
“Jumper: The Workflow Layer for Multichain Capital”, full article here
Surf Skill for AI crypto research — stop juggling 60+ APIs, watch the setup here
Saga explains “The Future of Synthetic Relationships”, watch the updates here
Kintsu continues to become the frontier liquid staking protocol for Monad, stake MON here
Optimum is at Buidl Asia, all updates and events here
Hibachi's Growi Alpha Vault just hit 41.4% APR, join here
HypurrFi Vaults (Prime, Yield, Scale) explained, read here
LI.FI announces a $2,500 in prizes for German teams who integrate LI.FI into Solana apps, announcement here
32 SEDA-powered 24/7 markets are now live, chart here
Hyperliquid Priority Fees function is now live, all details here
Kelp’s rsETH supply cap on Aave V4 just increased, check it out
Your stables on Plasma can now earn 6+% APR; check which ones here
Saturn's USDat and sUSDat landed on Pendle, read here
Even more important bits.
ClearBank becomes one of the first banks approved under the EU's MiCA crypto regulation, read here
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says blockchain "getting faster and cheaper" than traditional finance, listen here
DeFiLlama investor relations portal is coming soon, see here
Charts and stats of the day.
Cypher Ethereum treasury goes up and to the right, chart here
USDT and USDC activity on Ethereum dropped to its lowest point of 2026, chart here
Hyperliquid reportedly generated over $900M in profit with just 11 employees, read here
Tom Lee's 'BitMine' buys 71,524 ETH worth $157 million, read here
Ether.Fi’s Card revenue is off the charts, full breakdown here
Apollo Global locks $112.5M into Morpho for 4 years, read here
TradeXYZ continues to dominate the TradFi perps market on Hyperliquid, chart here
Lastly, our daily Telegram bulletin is back! Join in right here and stay on top of everything, every day.
MegaETH incentives? Soon, IMO.
Here’s a little insider holder chat alpha for you that one of the main Bunnz just dropped this morning. It seems something is cooking, and it might just get hot soon, especially if Q2 turns out mostly bullish (as we expect for now):
And guess what: We’re giving away a Bad Bunnz NFT so you don’t have to buy, qualify by filling the poll above!
Being Human with blocmates. Coming up on The Local WMC!
This is the time when research and patience come together. You might say these are more important times for us than the actual bull run.
The AI news & updates.
OpenClaw's creator, Peter Steinberger, on why AI agents still produce slop, and what to do about it, listen here
From privacy breakthroughs to AI agents and institutional rails, the Ethereum ecosystem update: read here
LM Studio becomes an official OpenClaw provider, read here
SIBYL AI agent project built a linter for its own memory, more details here
Zelensky shills robotic weapons in a new advert-like video, watch here
Virtuals explains “The Art of Betting on the Right Agent”, read here
Virtuals enabled high-frequency trading for AI agents through Hyperliquid, read here
Anti-AI violence hits Sam Altman — twice in one weekend, read here
Google just built Cowork and called it Agent, more details here
The AI tutorials of the day.
Most people use OpenClaw at 5% capacity. Here's the full architecture
Build Agents that never forget, guide here
The AI Businesses That Will Print Money in 2027, read here
How to become an AI Automation Builder in 6 months, read here
Everything you need to know about Claude managed agents (and how to build them)
Top Claude Code Slash Commands and Custom Skills, get them here
AI Articles/Videos of the day.
How my $600 Mac Mini Runs a 35B AI Model, read here
Very talented AI film producers present “The Patchwork”, watch here
Building games in GLM 5.1 instead of Claude, trailer and explanation here
If you’re a creator, this one’s the one to watch today:
RocketX (Privacy swaps for any chain)
Lovable (Payments, sell anything globally, no sales tax)
Hit (Up to 1000x leverage on real markets)
RealClaw (AI agent that earns while you sleep) - Early access opened
Another packed day, ladies and gents. To add to the overall bullish mean reversion outlook, check out what Nikita of X just posted. Something is coming!
If this was useful, forward it to one person sitting on the sidelines right now. That's how this thing grows. MUCH appreciated.
Hix0n 🫡
