šŸ«” Liberation Day! Here's The Plan:

PLUS a high-timeframe BTC trade plan.

GM, are you ready to be liberated?

Judging by the timeline, it looks like everyoneā€™s preparing to be hurt again. Even Michael Burry crawls out of his bear den, saying, ā€œheā€™s back.ā€ Big short 2.0? Iā€™m not entirely sure things will be that simple.

Looking at the Liberation Day schedule, things are pretty packed, and the next 24 hours are guaranteed to be volatile. The most important part might be Trumpā€™s remarks at Rose Garden, which happen at 4 p.m. EST.

The question is, does he even know what to say? According to yesterdayā€™s news piece, Trumpā€™s administration doesnā€™t even know the final tariff decision. Art of the Deal or absolute carelessness? After all, the White House also said, ā€œā€¦ the market is a snapshot in timeā€. Yeah, my all-time high portfolio is also a snapshot by now. Thank you, mister president.

Once again, remember that all of this chart drama can be salvaged as long as BTC doesnā€™t close below $76k.

There is a legitimate cause of concern for the health of this cycle, though. The SPX, for example, is printing a quarterly bearish divergence. This simply isnā€™t a good sign.

Moreover, even Michael Howell advises defensiveness in expectations of liquidity crush for the first weeks of April, increased by tax season. Regarding global liquidity, we are still under September 2024 highs. For the bull run to continue confidently, we need the Fed to ease and the global liquidity chart to flip its all-time high.

Stay vigilant.

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The important bits.

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Charts and stats of the day.

Crypto taxes? Absolute pain.

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BTCUSD 1W Coinbase Log Chart

Back to the high timeframe charts on a day primed for volatility. This is a pretty simple look at how RSI has behaved for weekly BTC over the course of 2 cycles. Particularly this current cycle. Around 44 (white line) is the RSI level that has held as support during bullish pullbacks.

This pattern dates back to last cycle. You donā€™t want to see RSI start closing under that white line. When we did in early 2022, it was the beginning of the bear market. What we want to see, is for the RSI downtrend to break to the upside, and a new uptrend begin. Price also has a very clear log uptrend, and a lower timeframe downtrend (white line) that we need to break up and out of.

Come by the Lucky Luke Discord channel for comments, to roast my picks or to pump your own bags. All banter is welcome any time!

Smart money keeps accumulating PENDLE from exchanges.

Life gets busy so hereā€™s what youā€™ve missed.

Farming Hyperliquid EVM season.

Research

Remember last week when we talked about Kittenswap and a potential HYPE 2.0 airdrop? Well, in this one, weā€™ll cover not one but 24 projects to engage with and build the most epic onchain footprint you can.

HyperEVM season is here.

To save you doom scrolling.

Will literally everyone be right at the perfect time? From my experience, this is not how markets work. If there is an impending doom loop for all markets, it doesnā€™t usually come when everyone expects it.

Letā€™s see. Stay safe out there.

stay safe homies,

Hix0n šŸ«”

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