🧐 Ignore The Tariffs - Watch These Factors Instead:

GM, tariff on or tariff off?

This tariff schizophrenia is bound to end soon; enough is enough. BTC and the indexes are becoming increasingly numb to the nonstop tariff headlines, which is textbook behavior for any recurring narrative. Eventually, the noise fades, and the market moves on.

We’re finally seeing Saylor printing orange dots on the BTC chart at a slightly more reasonable price. Should we follow suit? Maybe. Currently, Bitcoin is (at last) positioning for a highly possible relief rally. The $76k level was defended, the Hash Ribbon indicator is there, and if BTC manages to close above $87-88k from here, the race into $90k levels officially starts.

But keep May in mind. If BTC can’t break and hold $95k on longer-term timeframes, this all might be just a relief bounce before a summer of chop and sideways.

There’s still a lot of hope for this bull run to continue, though. China is officially stepping into a monetary easing mode to combat the tariff war, DXY continues to nuke, and M2 money supply is breaking out.

Combined with the possibility of the Fed starting its own easing season, many factors still underline the bullish outlook. The global liquidity index, which prints new all-time highs as we speak, can show all of these factors in one chart. Watch this one closely.

Personally, I wouldn’t be giving up all hope just yet.

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The important bits.

• Hermes announces faster cross-chain swaps in seconds

• Sophon announces RedStone oracles integration

• mETH Protocol publishes full Q2 roadmap

• Superseed explains the “Supercollateral” in new graphic thread

• Ramen Finance announces partnership and rewards for holders with Beraji

• Somnia L1 features a weekly recap

• Core DAO announces 50x sparks rewards multiplier on Glyph Exchange

• Mode launches ModeTrade, perp. DEX with AI trading terminal

• Hypio, the most successful Hyperliquid NFT, announces a wallet-linking feature

• Hyper Unit on Hyperliquid is the cheapest place to buy native BTC

• Hyperlend, lending market on Hyperliqudi, announces lower flashloans

Even more important bits.

• FX issues will be addressed between Finance Minister Kato, US Treasury Secretary Bessen

• China has officially halted shipments of several rare earth minerals to the US

• China suspends exports of certain rare earth minerals to the United States

• Ray Dalio says he’s “worried about something worse than a recession”

• The President of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, will be coming to the White House

• President Trump signs resolution overturning IRS crypto rule targeting DeFi

Charts and stats of the day.

• The 10Y Note Yield rises back above 4.50% at the open

• HyperSwap is generating more fees than Curve FInance

• 2025 has been the most active year ever in crypto, with over $204B moved

• Spot BTC balance on Hyperliquid almost reaching 1000 BTC

• Bitcoin measured against the S&P reclaiming both 2021 highs and range lows

• Retail investors were some of the most active stock buyers last Wednesday

Crypto taxes? Absolute pain.

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CPOOL/USDT Kucoin 3D Log Chart

I’m posting the Kucoin CPOOL chart purely to show the price history. Bybit is likely more liquid. After this -90% OM rug, Real World Assets capital has to flow somewhere, and it’s reasonable to assume some will flow into the best-looking W bottom structure in the space. I was already accumulating before that happened - it’s just one more catalyst to add to the technical setup.

I’m looking to add to my position on low-time frame pullbacks in the purple box as long as the price is down there. One of my favorite Twitter accounts, Nik Patel, is on board, looking to sell the 0.80c area in a few months. This lines up with the upper trendline. Two previous higher highs suggest a bullish continuation is likely to occur. Momentum indicators, RSI and MACD, are at the bottom and flipping bullish.

Come by the Lucky Luke Discord channel for comments, to roast my picks or to pump your own bags. All banter is welcome any time!

Smart-money movements on Solana finally showed some outflows from Fartcoin as it reached the first important level of resistance.

Nevertheless, as SOL strengthens, clear opportunities are popping up elsewhere. I think some of the notorious names will reprice higher during this bounce period.

Smart-money movements on Ethereum clearly favor MKR. DeFi resurrection? With both CRV and MKR showing strong moves, it’s certainly possible.

Mint your Hyperliquid domain, score an airdrop

Once again, it’s time to do some clicking on HyperEVM. Currently, there’s hardly any better opportunity than playing around on Hyperliquid’s EVM chain.

As we know, Hyperliquid likes to reward its users. I certainly am clicking.

• Bera Reserve (Berachain)

• Hyperbeat (Hyperliquid) - Announces Ultra HYPE

To save you doom scrolling.

Please tell me some of you shorted the top of this.

I’m not exactly sure how I feel about this. Change of times? Let’s hope.

stay safe homies,

Hix0n 🫡