šŸ’° BTC Dip Near $112K: The Bounce Zone Explained

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GM, the size of this week is increasing by the day.

The moment BTC slipped below the $116.8k area we kept mentioning last week, things turned south fast. As is tradition during market dips, multiple FUDs are appearing. Perhaps the most significant one here is Saylor announcing changes in the ā€œMSTR Equity ATM Guidanceā€, which is, by some, touted as ā€œpulling the rugā€. You can read the main FUD take here.

Nevertheless, more volatility is on deck with Thursday’s FOMC minutes and mainly Powell’s Friday speech at Jackson Hole, which will dictate the mood and odds of the September rate cut scenario. Currently, the odds dropped only a bit, to 89%. You can monitor these here.

Now, to the price map: short term, BTC needs to hold above $113.9k and higher to give us a bounce. The target should be around $118k (mapped out here), which is currently the weekly high. If BTC manages to start closing above, we can likely conclude this dip is done. If there’s yet another rejection, the likelihood of revisiting the recent lows around $111-112k will increase.

What’s important to note here is that this area definitely makes sense for a bounce, especially looking at the SOL chart here, and a very similar picture with ETH here. But, as we know, obvious areas such as these can easily be faked out.

Looking at the current sentiment, it adds viability to the bounce scenario, as most participants quickly turned into Bear mode. This is good.

As we said, this is indeed a Big Week, and with it, there’s also a chance for a White Swan to emerge from the current Trump and Europe talks with Russia. Here’s a great breakdown of the current geopolitical situation and the possibility of a peaceful resolution.

Once again, let’s hope for peace, prosperity, and many more months of shitcoin pumps. For now, this situation seems to me as yet another pullback, or perhaps a wider consolidation, but not a market top.

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The important bits.

  • Giza publishes new ā€œAutonomous Financeā€ trailer, watch and try it here

  • Fuel Network showcases real-time transaction speeds, watch here

  • Jumper teases a new chain integration, read here

  • Almanak announces the public sale date for August 21, join here

  • INFINIT V2 beta is now live, join here

  • Mira Network launches a reward campaing, sketch your PFP here

  • Tari spaces are happening later today, join and listen here

  • Plasma published a new episode of ā€œWhere Money Movesā€ newsletter, read here

  • Kyan explains the ā€œcombo trade systemā€, learn here

  • Shadow Exchange offers $10,000 rewards od staked S, join here

  • Hyperliquid deploys USDT0 trading pairs on mainnet, read here

  • Marinade Finance TVL hits an all-time high at $2 billion, chart here 

  • Heaven launchpad statistics are looking better by the day, see here

  • Berachain’s BERA open interest is quickly rising, see here

Even more important bits.

  • Tether appoints White House Crypto Council exec Bo Hines as Strategic Advisor, read here

  • Axiom trading terminal explained in a new blocmates article, read here

  • Chamath launches an ā€œAmerican Exceptionalismā€ DeFi SPAC, read here

  • ETHZilla unveils rebrand and begins trading on NASDAQ under ticker ETHZ, read here

  • Bettors on Kalshi are backing Google’s Gemini to take the lead in AI, read here

  • Google increases stake in Bitcoin miner TeraWulf to 14%, read here

  • Tom Lee’s Bitmine buys another 378,000 ETH, read here

  • Dutch firm Amdax to launch Bitcoin company AMBTS, targets 1% of $BTC, read here 

Charts and stats of the day.

  • Bonk revenue falls to an all-time low, Heaven takes the leading uptick, dashboard here

  • Digital asset treasuries now control over 2% of the total ETH supply, chart here

  • USDG supply grows rapidly, chart here

  • Google Trends for ā€œaltseasonā€ dropped back to lows, chart here

  • 910,461 ETH worth $3.9B is currently stuck in Ethereum’s exit queue, chart here

Telemetry data of the day.

The Heave mania continues. Here are the most trending tokens on Heaven for the past 24h:

If you want to access more of this type of data and trade freshly graduated tokens on PumpFun of Bonk, visit Telemetry here (it`s free).

New HyperEVM point farm unlocked.

HyperFlow caught my eye today after seeing it hyped up by Mister ScottPhilips.

HyperFlow is currently the only DEX aggregator on HyperEVM offering real-time swap rate comparisons across all other DEX aggregators in the ecosystem. I can confirm that clicking through three or four aggregators while trying to find the best rate for my BUDDY buys wasn’t fun.

Personally, I’ll start stacking points here and using HyperFlow anytime I want to trade on HyperEVM. You can join me here, if you want, of course.

To save you doom scrolling.

I can largely see myself in this (unfortunately). How about you? Haha, dayum.

No better way to end off with a solid hit of Hopium.

Firstly, check out this long-term 200 MA indicator. If this holds true, we are about to enter very prosperous times.

Secondly, looking at these liquidation levels, the Bears should sweat as soon as ETH properly bounces.

And finally, for the real students of the grypto markets, here’s an excellent interview with FiboSwanny, a legendary trader who nailed multiple previous macro tops. His target? Well, listen for yourself.

stay safe homies,

Hix0n šŸ«”

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