🗒️ Crypto/Bitcoin Outlook For Q2: Let's Break It Down

PLUS a trade plan for a new AI project!

April 01, 2025

GM. A smart man recently said, “The first pro-crypto president being retarded makes perfect sense, tbh.” 

At this point, I cannot tell the difference between Art of the Deal and mental illness. Not only crypto traders but also China, Japan, and South Korea had enough of Trump’s shenanigans, announcing a joint response to US tariffs. Let’s see.

For now, we’re riding a nice little pre-Liberation Day pump. Will it stick? I have to say, I can definitely see one more swipe below $80k (I like this trade plan here).

But, simultaneously, ripping higher from here and seeing the first real, more sustained wouldn’t surprise me either. The policy uncertainty index is surging. Historically, a critically high policy uncertainty index means value for long-term buys (keyword: long-term).

Even Larry Fink, the guy who owns half of America, says almost everyone he talks to is 'more anxious about the economy than any time in recent memory.'

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s deep in oversold territory—at least according to the Active Adresses Sentiment Indicator.

At the same time, ETH/BTC, which is basically an altcoin index, still looks horrible. This is underscored by the historically largest gap between altcoin and bitcoin value. Remember, though: there’s always a point of strong mean reversion; the rubber band always snaps back. I believe this will happen here, too; the question is when. Markets won’t stop being markets.

Lastly, there’s a cause for concern regarding gold, which is currently at historical all-time highs. The thing is, that kind of gold rush has a nasty habit of showing up right before major meltdowns—think 2008 or March 2020.

All in all, I am massively optimistic. The only question is how much more pain we have to endure and for how long. A policy shift in the US is inevitably coming, and rate cuts (Goldman now predicts three cuts) will lead to easier liquidity conditions.

In the short term, carefully watch the March lows around $76k. We really don’t want Bitcoin to go under there and close higher timeframe candles below.

On the other hand, if this bounce continues, watch the $92-93k level for a flip, and be careful when SPX bounces towards 5,800. These levels need to be flipped and turned into support for us to feel more confident. Cautiously optimistic.

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AGiXT/SOL 1D Raydium Log Chart

AI infrastructure project AGiXT describes itself as a ‘dynamic Artificial Intelligence automation platform’. I have seen it discussed in Discord a couple of times, but today, the chart really caught my eye.

It launched close to the meme and broader market top in late January, and it looks like it wants to have a little run back to the highs here. They’re actually more than 3x north of current price, so not a bad trade if this plays out.

I am targeting the yearly VWAP up at the 0.055 area. Remember tomorrow could be highly volatile with Trump’s tariffs hitting peak uncertainty, so bid a pullback is what I’m going to do - in the purple box.

Come by the Lucky Luke Discord channel for comments, to roast my picks or to pump your own bags. All banter is welcome any time!

Superseed quickly rises through sentiment ranks.

To save you doom scrolling.

Me too.

Things either get nasty or really good from here. Or really good and then nasty. But guess what happens long-term: it will get reaaaallllyyyy damn good.

Repeat after me: cryptocurrency markets are still the best opportunity of our generation; I will survive, make it all back, and out-trade the boomers.

stay safe homies,

Hix0n đŸŤĄ

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